In one set, we matched Hillary Clinton (D) in a series of two-way contests with Donald Trump (R), Ohio Governor John Kasich (R), and House Speaker Paul Ryan (R). Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2016 presidential election poll is used. We tested six election scenarios. In the second set, we matched these same candidates in a series of three-way contests that also included former governor Gary Johnson. With 270 of the 538 available required to win the presidency, Clinton fell 38 electoral votes short of victory. Hillary Clinton Clinton. The Race for the White House, 2016 edition, does not feature an incumbent. ABOUT US  Bush received 426 electoral votes to Dukakis' 111.. Election Projection cannot screen all advertisements appearing here. Click here to contact us for media inquiries, and please donate here to support our continued expansion. The Republican Party retained control of the Senate and House of Representatives. “Election fraud has been occurring via the targeting and manipulation of computerized voting equipment across America,” Simon says in the publicity materials for his book. These are the topline results of a YouGov survey of 1000 US adults interviewed October 23-24, 2016 on world views. The reality is that Edison has a bunch of statistical models that have been sitting on a computer since last fall, and they plug information into them as it comes in.”. President Barack Obama is in the evening of his eight-year presidency. Click here for projected margins of victory. Clinton collected 232. Among the voter suppression methods identified by Palest, a multi-state system known as Crosscheck — supposedly designed to check for voters who have registered more than once, allegedly to prevent fraudulent multiple voting — may have wrongly invalidated thousands or even million of votes. PRIVACY But the popularity of early and mail-in voting has exploded and Edison’s methods can’t keep up. Popular Vote. “Exit polls are an exciting piece of Election Day information. Hillary Clinton: 232 electoral votes 232. The 2016 presidential election polls show that Donald Trump lost in four key swing states. Hillary Clinton Donald Trump After 50 of 50 states. After his historic election in 2008, President Obama secured a second term in 2012. Since the U.S. Constitution prohibits our chief executives from serving more than two terms, Obama’s name won’t be on the ballot when Americans head to the polls on November 8, 2016. Click on a state in the map below to view presidential polls conducted on statewide sample groups, plus additional state-specific election information. Evolving Strategies and Ballotpedia surveyed 4,242 registered voters, with a margin of error of +/-4.0%. After his historic election in 2008, President Obama secured a second term in 2012. The shorter polls lead to significantly higher rates of response, creating a larger sample size which gives a much better indicator of what the final result will be. Exit poll table compiled by TDMSResearch.com. During 2016, Hillary Clinton led Donald Trump in 84% of national polls while Trump led in 12%. Clinton saw the largest lead in Michigan, where she led Trump by a weighted 17 percentage points. Gained 6 seats +6. Trump wins Republican Donald Trump is elected US president, defeating Democrat Hillary Clinton. When the polls failed to accurately predict the British general election in May 2015, it took a blue ribbon panel and more than six months of work before the public had the results of a data-driven, independent inquiry in hand. Ballotpedia does not curate or endorse these articles. Click here to contact our editorial staff, and click here to report an error. Thank you! “It runs into the problems any phone poll has — namely, that it’s difficult to poll people who only have mobile phones. + Utah and Idaho only. This page lists nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2016 United States presidential election.The two major party candidates were chosen at the Democratic National Convention and Republican National Convention in July 2016.. Donald Trump won the general election of Tuesday, November 8, 2016, despite losing the popular vote while winning the electoral college. The original election projection website, since 2003, This year, I'm relying more than ever on readers to support Election Projection. See the latest estimates and poll results at HuffPost Pollster. What happened? Investigative reporter Greg Palast alleges that voter suppression techniques employed by Republicans eliminated the votes of, potentially, millions of minority voters who would be expected to vote for the Democratic candidate. This page displays the current 270toWin Polling Average for each state.
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